Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:30:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x703e…9828
sports · 39 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$489 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$546 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$546
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses12 / 27
Est. fees paid−$43
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage85d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$264
7 days−$264
14 days−$264
30 days−$264
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner G2 Esports 33¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 4? Over 70¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 32¢ 0¢ $113 $0 −$113 (-100%)
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner G2 Esports 5¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A NRG 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 3¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE 29¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 37¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2? Over 60¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 3? Over 68¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner G2 Esports 20¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner LOS 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? Over 63¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $81 +$107 +132%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $50 +$33 +66%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $28 +$23 +81%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $140 −$113 -80%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $254 −$3 -1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $102 +$41 +41%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $110 −$8 -7%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $78 −$77 -98%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $77 −$10 -13%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $36 −$6 -17%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $54 −$30 -56%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $57 +$5 +9%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $128 −$93 -73%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $86 −$10 -12%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $86 −$44 -50%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$37 +180%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Mar 22 $3 −$1 -44%
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Morningstar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Mar 22 $1 +$2 +141%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A Mar 22 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Mar 22 $180 −$180 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 4? Mar 22 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Mar 22 $30 −$30 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 3? Mar 22 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Mar 22 $60 −$60 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 22 $190 +$209 +110%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Gro Mar 22 $112 +$53 +48%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Mar 21 $113 −$113 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2? Mar 21 $36 −$36 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? Mar 21 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 21 $22 −$8 -38%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Mar 21 $20 +$65 +324%
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner Mar 21 $60 +$69 +115%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill? Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner Mar 21 $30 +$52 +172%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% −$209
other 13% −$337
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $189 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 42¢ $81 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $84 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 59¢ $50 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 99¢ $51 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 54¢ $28 5h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 8¢ $28 5h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 40¢ $140 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 42¢ $133 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 33¢ $51 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 59¢ $101 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $118 6h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 5¢ $2 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 34¢ $102 6h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 72¢ $143 19h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 50¢ $102 19h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 2¢ $3 19h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 5¢ $5 19h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Liquid 42¢ $64 19h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Liquid 57¢ $37 19h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 45¢ $102 20h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 39¢ $102 21h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 1¢ $1 22h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 8¢ $2 23h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 42¢ $51 23h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 40¢ $25 23h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOS 10¢ $5 23h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOS 10¢ $5 23h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 46¢ $89 23h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 29¢ $14 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-32.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -35.6% -41.7% 29% 24% -24.8%
≤30d 21 -35.6% -41.7% 29% 24% -24.8%
≤90d 39 -25.2% -32.3% 31% 28% -28.3%
all 39 -25.2% -32.3% 31% 28% -28.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.3% 28% -28.3%
10% -38.8% 28% -35.1%
15% -44.7% 28% -41.4%
20% -50.1% 23% -47.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 127 history records