Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T01:36:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
70 0x7049…0eed crypto 134 markets active 1h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (84 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$1,293 (+9%) realized +$1,293 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +43% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +10% what you keep after slip
Net edge+10%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate49%65W / 69L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$103per market
Trades / day83.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$9,294
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (84 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+29.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 134 +42.6% +29.0% 49% 48% -72.3%
≤30d 134 +42.6% +29.0% 49% 48% -72.3%
≤90d 134 +42.6% +29.0% 49% 48% -72.3%
all 134 +42.6% +29.0% 49% 48% -72.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover83.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +29.0% 48% -72.3%
10% ← realistic here +16.7% 46% -75.0%
15% +5.4% 46% -77.4%
20% -4.9% 46% -79.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -69% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +43% · $-wt -69% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +33% → late +52% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$37 vs −$169 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.2 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,293
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses65 / 69
Open positions0
Markets (closed)134 / 134
History coverage6d
Avg bet$103
Trades / day83.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 134 Trades
no open positions (65 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 26 $94 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 26 $9,433 −$9,102 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 26 $983 −$924 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 26 $580 −$527 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 25 $24 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 25 $50 +$50 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 25 $34 −$32 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $24 −$23 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$15 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 25 $21 +$56 +271%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 25 $26 +$37 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $19 +$41 +221%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 25 $8 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 25 $16 +$44 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$10 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 25 $16 +$24 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 25 $6 +$34 +599%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $25 −$24 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 25 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 25 $25 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 25 $21 +$98 +469%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 25 $25 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 25 $27 −$26 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $33 −$32 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 25 $41 +$103 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 24 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 24 $22 +$38 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 24 $11 +$49 +426%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 24 $24 +$36 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 24 $8 +$12 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 24 $28 +$32 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $18 +$42 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 24 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 24 $29 −$27 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 24 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 24 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 24 $15 −$14 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 24 $25 +$125 +500%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 24 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $42 −$40 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $524 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8,501 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $243 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $383 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $84 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $135 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $207 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $173 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $196 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $66 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $268 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $6 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 541 history records