Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7052…17cd
crypto · 366 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$136 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$136 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$3
Realized−$136
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses206 / 159
Open positions1
Markets (closed)365 / 366
Avg bet$3
Trades / day72.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 365 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$118
14 days−$136
30 days−$136
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 68¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +77%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +81%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +77%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -85%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -81%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -72%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$136
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $5 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $2 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 331 -4.4% -13.5% 57% 56% -13.2%
≤30d 365 -6.2% -15.1% 56% 55% -14.4%
≤90d 365 -6.2% -15.1% 56% 55% -14.4%
all 365 -6.2% -15.1% 56% 55% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 55% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 55% -22.6%
15% -30.7% 52% -30.0%
20% -37.5% 34% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.62 · official $1.96 (match) · 707 history records