Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:55:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
70 0x7063…9b11 crypto 1044 markets active 1h ago coverage 106d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 105d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$194 (-1%) realized −$194 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate43%446W / 598L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day24.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$84
7 days+$84
14 days+$84
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% +$5
finance 3% +$121
tech 0% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -24.8% -31.9% 31% 22% -3.7%
≤30d 140 -1.0% -10.4% 39% 29% -9.0%
≤90d 660 -5.2% -14.2% 39% 25% -15.8%
all 1044 -0.3% -9.8% 43% 27% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 27% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 23% -17.8%
15% -26.3% 20% -25.7%
20% -33.5% 18% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$23 vs −$17 · ×1.35 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

106d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$194
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses446 / 598
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1044 / 1044
History coverage106d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1044 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$14 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $47 −$44 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $34 −$24 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $34 −$32 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$17 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $32 −$31 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$9 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $19 −$17 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $32 +$76 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $74 −$47 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$9 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $54 +$122 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $32 −$9 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $37 +$11 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $32 +$94 +297%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $42 +$12 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$8 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $35 −$24 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $32 −$23 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$51 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $32 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $15 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $12 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $54 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $37 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $27 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $37 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $18 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $32 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $48 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $37 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records