trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 75% | 75% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -6.0% | -14.9% | 77% | 46% | -9.7% |
| all | 19 | -9.2% | -17.9% | 79% | 32% | -11.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.9% | 32% | -11.8% |
| 10% | -25.7% | 26% | -20.2% |
| 15% | -32.9% | 16% | -28.0% |
| 20% | -39.5% | 0% | -35.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $77 | $77 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 10 | $108 | −$106 | -99% |
| Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of | Jun 05 | $85 | +$40 | +48% |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 29 | $97 | +$27 | +27% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 23 | $137 | +$40 | +29% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 15 | $113 | +$47 | +42% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | May 15 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | May 15 | $54 | +$26 | +48% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19? | May 15 | $86 | +$6 | +8% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 40% by March 31? | May 15 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | May 15 | $11 | +$2 | +17% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 35°F or below on March 13? | May 15 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 07 | $38 | −$38 | -99% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 29 | $46 | −$46 | -99% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Feb 10 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$45 in January? | Feb 04 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google reach $420 in January? | Feb 04 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January? | Feb 04 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | Feb 04 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | Jan 07 | $13 | $0 | +0% |