trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 23 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 29 | $1,090 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 29 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series? | Jun 29 | $1,156 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 29 | $1,154 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 27? | Jun 28 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 28 | $1,097 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 28 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 28 | $1,062 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | Jun 27 | $51 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 27 | $1,087 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $1,111 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $1,085 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 18 | $190 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | Apr 17 | $189 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 16 | $185 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Apr 16 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? | Apr 16 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 29 | $148 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Mar 29 | $66 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | Mar 25 | $126 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Mar 25 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 25 | $69 | $0 | -0% |