trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 100% | 0% | -0.2% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 100% | 0% | -0.2% |
| all | 26 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 62% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $90 in June? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $26 | $26 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | Jun 15 | $27 | +$3 | +10% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January? | Feb 05 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | Jan 02 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $280 end of November? | Dec 05 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | Nov 04 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September? | Oct 02 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31? | Sep 10 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $140 in July? | Aug 09 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.4 in June? | Jul 08 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? | Jun 06 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025? | May 11 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30? | May 06 | $22 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 22 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 18 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 14 | $1,632 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Solana hit $190 in March? | Apr 05 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 10 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 10 | $4,286 | −$8 | -0% |
| Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28? | Mar 04 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alperen Sengun lead the NBA in Assists? | Feb 14 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025? | Feb 03 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League? | Jan 22 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? | Jan 22 | $25 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will another party win the most seats in the next German election? | Jan 15 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Leicester City wins the Premier League? | Jan 15 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League? | Jan 09 | $41 | −$8 | -19% |