trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -21.0% | -28.5% | 50% | 40% | -16.1% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 53% | 47% | -7.4% |
| ≤90d | 61 | +16.8% | +5.6% | 57% | 51% | -6.8% |
| all | 105 | +9.4% | -1.1% | 60% | 51% | -29.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.1% | 51% | -29.6% |
| 10% | -10.5% | 46% | -36.4% |
| 15% | -19.2% | 43% | -42.5% |
| 20% | -27.1% | 37% | -48.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 54¢ | 55¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 66¢ | 28¢ | $30 | $13 | −$17 (-57%) |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency? | No | 82¢ | 89¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+9%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-96%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 92¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $30 | +$10 | +34% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $30 | +$16 | +52% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Haiti leading at halftime? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $151 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $51 | +$56 | +109% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$25 | -50% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $7 | +$3 | +44% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5 | May 31 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 | May 29 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 28 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 26 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $10 | +$8 | +83% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $30 | +$13 | +42% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 22 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 | May 20 | $51 | +$45 | +90% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $20 | +$40 | +197% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 10 | $6 | +$25 | +414% |
| UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | May 09 | $35 | −$35 | -99% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 06 | $133 | −$130 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $5 | +$15 | +291% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 05 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5 | May 03 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $20 | +$49 | +238% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | May 01 | $101 | +$74 | +73% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $41 | +$62 | +152% |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | Apr 23 | $130 | +$13 | +10% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5 | Apr 21 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 21 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 21 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $20 | +$44 | +220% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 17 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Apr 15 | $45 | +$20 | +46% |
| Spread: Raptors (-14.5) | Apr 13 | $50 | +$38 | +76% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Apr 13 | $5 | +$17 | +344% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Apr 08 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Bulls | Apr 08 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers | Apr 01 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Pistons | Apr 01 | $50 | +$35 | +70% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Mar 31 | $58 | −$58 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) | Mar 31 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-10.5) | Mar 28 | $50 | +$6 | +11% |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) | Mar 26 | $50 | +$41 | +82% |
| Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Mar 26 | $300 | +$11 | +4% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Mar 23 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Mar 22 | $5 | +$4 | +76% |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21? | Mar 22 | $50 | +$22 | +45% |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) | Mar 22 | $40 | +$35 | +89% |