Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:24:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7099…04dc
crypto · 177 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$71 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$71 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$71
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses166 / 10
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)176 / 177
History coverage6d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day29.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$71
14 days−$71
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? No 97¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election? No 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Yes 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$1 +8%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $14 +$1 +4%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 11? Jun 11 $8 +$1 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $14 +$1 +4%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 11? Jun 11 $7 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$39
finance 4% −$18
politics 4% −$17
other 3% +$1
sports 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $15 10h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 14h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? BUY Yes 93¢ $20 18h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY Yes 98¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 22h
XRP Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 99¢ $20 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 23h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 11? BUY Yes 92¢ $1 23h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 11? BUY No 92¢ $7 23h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 11? BUY Yes 92¢ $7 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 96¢ $14 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? BUY No 96¢ $14 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 176 -2.8% -12.1% 94% 1% -12.1%
≤30d 176 -2.8% -12.1% 94% 1% -12.1%
≤90d 176 -2.8% -12.1% 94% 1% -12.1%
all 176 -2.8% -12.1% 94% 1% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 1% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 0% -20.5%
15% -28.2% 0% -28.2%
20% -35.2% 0% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.95 · official $19.95 (match) · 345 history records