Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:38:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x709a…62e9
crypto · 47 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$53 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$48
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses25 / 21
Open positions1
Markets (closed)46 / 47
History coverage12d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day8.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$48
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 01 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 01 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 01 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 01 $4 +$3 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 01 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 01 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 01 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 01 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 01 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 01 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 01 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 01 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 01 $9 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 01 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 01 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 01 $11 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 01 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 01 $2 +$2 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 01 $9 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 01 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 01 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 01 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 01 $8 +$4 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 01 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET May 31 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET May 31 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 31 $5 +$5 +98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$48
other 2% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $4 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $3 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $3 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-24.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -71.1% -73.9% 20% 20% -59.6%
≤30d 46 -16.4% -24.4% 54% 39% -30.9%
≤90d 46 -16.4% -24.4% 54% 39% -30.9%
all 46 -16.4% -24.4% 54% 39% -30.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.4% 39% -30.9%
10% -31.6% 33% -37.5%
15% -38.2% 24% -43.6%
20% -44.3% 20% -49.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 111 history records