Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:52:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x70a4…cb1c
crypto · 1202 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$340 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$340 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$340
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses627 / 575
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1202 / 1202
History coverage126d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day20.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1202 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$447
14 days−$437
30 days−$479
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$339
other 1% $0
tech 0% $0
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 426 -43.1% -48.5% 35% 31% -42.9%
≤30d 824 -23.8% -31.0% 48% 42% -25.3%
≤90d 1070 -11.2% -19.6% 52% 46% -17.6%
all 1202 -10.3% -18.8% 52% 46% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 46% -17.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 30% -25.1%
15% -33.7% 20% -32.3%
20% -40.2% 11% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2922 history records