trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 25% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 56% | 11% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 56% | 11% | -8.9% |
| all | 21 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 48% | 5% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.7% | 5% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -21.1% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $55 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $6 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 17 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 27 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 26 | $3 | $0 | +9% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 25 | $44 | +$1 | +1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 24 | $48 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Elon tweet 200–214 times May 30–June 6? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or | May 21 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86000 on Apr 18? | Apr 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Greens be part of the next German government? | Apr 04 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Apr 03 | $23 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days? | Apr 01 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between | Mar 31 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lautaro Martinez be the top Champions League scorer? | Mar 31 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on March 31? | Mar 31 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31? | Mar 30 | $23 | $0 | -0% |