trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 0% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 22% | 0% | -20.0% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -14.9% | -23.0% | 31% | 0% | -20.9% |
| all | 13 | -14.9% | -23.0% | 31% | 0% | -20.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.0% | 0% | -20.9% |
| 10% | -30.4% | 0% | -28.5% |
| 15% | -37.1% | 0% | -35.4% |
| 20% | -43.3% | 0% | -41.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $375 | $375 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | Jun 27 | $370 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | Jun 20 | $280 | −$4 | -2% |
| Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30? | Jun 19 | $281 | −$1 | -0% |
| Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | Jun 13 | $461 | +$34 | +7% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | Jun 13 | $463 | $0 | +0% |
| Game 1: Any Player Rampage? | Jun 10 | $461 | −$461 | -100% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $468 | −$6 | -1% |
| Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Fukushima United FC: O/U 5.5 | Jun 02 | $461 | +$14 | +3% |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30? | Jun 01 | $457 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 21 | $7 | $0 | -2% |
| Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5) | Apr 29 | $67 | −$67 | -100% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Apr 29 | $56 | $0 | +1% |
| Spread: Llaneros FC (-2.5) | Apr 02 | $88 | $0 | +0% |