Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:00:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x70b0…65c8
crypto · 297 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,188 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,172 · open −$52
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$4,172
Unrealized−$52
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses95 / 252
Est. fees paid−$80
Open positions2
Markets (closed)347 / 297
History coverage37d
Avg bet$66
Trades / day91.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 347 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,169
7 days−$1,185
14 days−$2,561
30 days−$3,157
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Netherlands 27¢ 24¢ $12 $10 −$2 (-15%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands - Who wins the toss? Bangladesh 32¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 38¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on May 31? Up 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? Down 31¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Ireland 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Gro Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 7? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET Jun 14 $61 −$61 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET Jun 14 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET Jun 14 $70 −$70 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 6? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7? Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$1,973
sports 30% −$1,049
finance 1% +$11
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Netherlands 22¢ $3 53m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Netherlands 30¢ $5 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Netherlands 30¢ $5 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands - Who wins the tos BUY Bangladesh 32¢ $51 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 16¢ $2 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 19¢ $2 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 76¢ $37 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 78¢ $37 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 26¢ $4 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 33¢ $5 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $4 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 69¢ $16 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 67¢ $21 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 69¢ $14 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 67¢ $22 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 24¢ $1 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 26¢ $3 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 31¢ $5 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 32¢ $5 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 71¢ $10 9h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 73¢ $30 9h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 72¢ $32 9h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 24¢ $2 9h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 21¢ $2 9h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 28¢ $3 9h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $8 9h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $4 10h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 29¢ $4 10h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 32¢ $5 10h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Who wi BUY West Indies 60¢ $31 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-47.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -66.1% -69.3% 16% 14% -41.8%
≤30d 236 -40.4% -46.1% 28% 23% -32.4%
≤90d 347 -42.1% -47.6% 27% 23% -31.2%
all 347 -42.1% -47.6% 27% 23% -31.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover91.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -47.6% 23% -31.2%
10% ← realistic here -52.7% 18% -37.8%
15% -57.2% 13% -43.8%
20% -61.4% 10% -49.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.33 · official $10.33 (match) · 3500 history records