Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:00:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x70b8…ec6c
other · 1734 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$31 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1663 / 53
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions18
Markets (closed)1716 / 1734
History coverage59d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day38.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 18 History 1716 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$5
14 days−$12
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Safepoint's market cap be at least $1.7B at market close on IPO day? No 97¢ 98¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.25B and $1.5B at market close on IPO day? No 98¢ 92¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day? No 98¢ 85¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-14%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? No 94¢ 98¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+5%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? No 94¢ 98¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will Solana reach $90 in June? No 97¢ 96¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? No 94¢ 94¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? No 93¢ 96¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? No 94¢ 98¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in June? No 98¢ 98¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? No 96¢ 97¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? No 98¢ 96¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? No 95¢ 99¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Yes 97¢ 97¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? No 92¢ 87¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 90¢ 96¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June? No 94¢ 96¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 91¢ 81¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $4 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Will Solana dip to $40 in June? Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $3 $0 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $3 $0 +2%
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be less than $600M at market close Jun 10 $3 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $3 $0 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $3 $0 +7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $3 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on June 5? Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Micron (MU) finish week of June 1 above $890? Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of June 1 above $4.50? Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 30% −$22
crypto 26% +$13
tech 18% −$1
weather 12% −$18
culture 5% +$5
finance 4% +$1
sports 3% −$3
world 1% −$4
economics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 97¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? BUY No 92¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 98¢ $2 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 10h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $2 10h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $2 10h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 11h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $2 12h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? BUY No 93¢ $2 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 96¢ $2 17h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 17h
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? SELL No 99¢ $1 19h
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? BUY No 98¢ $2 19h
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? BUY No 94¢ $2 20h
Will Solana dip to $40 in June? SELL No 99¢ $3 20h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? BUY No 91¢ $2 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $2 28h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $2 31h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY No 94¢ $2 31h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 95¢ $2 33h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $2 33h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 33h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? SELL No 99¢ $2 34h
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in June? BUY No 98¢ $2 35h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 99¢ $1 35h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 94¢ $2 36h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY No 90¢ $2 38h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 39h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +5.3% -4.7% 100% 0% -5.1%
≤30d 797 -0.4% -9.9% 97% 1% -9.8%
≤90d 1716 -0.6% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.1%
all 1716 -0.6% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 0% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.42 · official $40.42 (match) · 3500 history records