Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:38:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x70c2…6487
crypto · 45 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses40 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)45 / 45
History coverage4d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day12.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -0.6% -10.0% 89% 16% -12.7%
≤30d 45 -0.6% -10.0% 89% 16% -12.7%
≤90d 45 -0.6% -10.0% 89% 16% -12.7%
all 45 -0.6% -10.0% 89% 16% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 16% -12.7%
10% -18.6% 7% -21.1%
15% -26.5% 0% -28.7%
20% -33.7% 0% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 91 history records