trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 33% | 0% | -20.3% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 33% | 0% | -20.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -17.4% | -25.3% | 46% | 31% | -16.9% |
| all | 18 | -19.8% | -27.4% | 50% | 33% | -21.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.4% | 33% | -21.9% |
| 10% | -34.4% | 17% | -29.3% |
| 15% | -40.7% | 6% | -36.2% |
| 20% | -46.5% | 0% | -42.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 21? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $3 | $4 | +$0 (+11%) |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on June 21? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-97%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Starmer say "Hate" or "Hatred" during the next PMQ? | Jun 21 | $45 | −$6 | -14% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 21? | Jun 21 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 21? | Jun 21 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 29 | $75 | −$46 | -61% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | Apr 29 | $190 | −$113 | -60% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 31? | Mar 30 | $120 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 31? | Mar 30 | $100 | −$7 | -7% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 30? | Mar 30 | $100 | +$34 | +34% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Mar 28 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 30? | Mar 27 | $140 | +$24 | +17% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29? | Mar 27 | $200 | +$92 | +46% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26? | Mar 26 | $80 | +$16 | +20% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29? | Mar 24 | $80 | −$79 | -99% |
| Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election? | Mar 15 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 11? | Mar 12 | $60 | +$5 | +9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on March 9? | Mar 10 | $25 | +$4 | +15% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 9? | Mar 09 | $15 | +$4 | +27% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 6? | Mar 06 | $5 | −$4 | -81% |