trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -65.1% | -68.5% | 17% | 17% | -22.9% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -65.1% | -68.5% | 17% | 17% | -22.9% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -65.1% | -68.5% | 17% | 17% | -22.9% |
| all | 6 | -65.1% | -68.5% | 17% | 17% | -22.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -68.5% | 17% | -22.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -71.5% | 0% | -30.3% |
| 15% | -74.2% | 0% | -37.0% |
| 20% | -76.8% | 0% | -43.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Spain | 55¢ | 95¢ | $55 | $95 | +$40 (+73%) |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Spain | 33¢ | 84¢ | $33 | $84 | +$52 (+156%) |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | Team Falcons | 69¢ | 72¢ | $72 | $75 | +$3 (+4%) |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | Yes | 60¢ | 60¢ | $60 | $60 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? | Yes | 22¢ | 21¢ | $54 | $51 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $40 | $32 | −$8 (-19%) |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $29 | $28 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 16¢ | 22¢ | $12 | $16 | +$4 (+38%) |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | No | 53¢ | 72¢ | $3 | $4 | +$1 (+36%) |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+60%) |
| Netanyahu out by July 31? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-29%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul | Jun 21 | $60 | −$59 | -99% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 21 | $325 | +$47 | +15% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $9 | −$9 | -97% |
| Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Eala | Jun 20 | $44 | −$43 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |