Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:44:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
70 0x70c6…c445 crypto 1681 markets active 0h ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 12d only
✗ bot/MM pace (141 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$148 (+1%) realized +$148 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1654W / 27L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day141.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$10now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$70
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (141 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1155 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -10.1%
≤30d 1681 -0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 1681 -0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -9.7%
all 1681 -0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover141.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 0% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$11 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$10
Realized+$148
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1654 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1681 / 1681
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day141.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1681 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.10 · official $10.10 (match) · 3500 history records