Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:56:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x70df…218c
other · 266 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$88 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses12 / 254
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)266 / 266
History coverage134d
Avg bet$205
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 0 History 266 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$14
14 days−$23
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $193 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $222 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $564 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 12 $335 −$1 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $62 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $63 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $335 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $63 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $598 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 10 $63 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 10 $465 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $293 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $454 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $726 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $316 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $326 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $425 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $354 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $316 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $295 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $451 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $484 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 06 $147 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $229 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 06 $562 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $176 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $355 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $501 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $17 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $499 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $94 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $283 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 02 $213 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $278 −$3 -1%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 30 $175 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 30 $161 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $140 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $540 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 30 $148 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? May 29 $70 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 29 $151 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $499 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? May 28 $638 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? May 27 $781 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 26 $425 $0 +0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $398 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 25 $277 −$1 -0%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 24 $180 $0 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 24 $157 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 24 $777 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% −$42
sports 24% −$21
politics 7% −$6
economics 7% −$4
crypto 6% −$5
culture 5% −$6
world 5% −$3
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $62 1h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $62 3h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $62 4h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $62 6h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $62 7h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $62 8h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 99¢ $62 10h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $62 11h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $62 13h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $62 15h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $62 24h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $63 26h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $63 33h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $63 35h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $63 43h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $63 44h
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $63 47h
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $63 2d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $63 2d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $63 2d
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $63 2d
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $63 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $63 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $63 2d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $63 3d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $63 3d
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $63 3d
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $63 3d
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $63 3d
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $64 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 65 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 190 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 266 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1364 history records