Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x70eb…860d
crypto · 1000 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$301 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$301 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$301
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses492 / 508
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1000 / 1000
History coverage75d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day22.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1000 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$28
14 days−$32
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 06 $10 −$5 -48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$301
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -15.6% -23.7% 52% 49% -20.0%
≤30d 176 -6.4% -15.4% 48% 46% -11.5%
≤90d 1000 -4.7% -13.8% 49% 47% -14.7%
all 1000 -4.7% -13.8% 49% 47% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 47% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 43% -22.9%
15% -29.6% 38% -30.3%
20% -36.5% 28% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2400 history records