Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x70ec…bb5d
crypto · 35 markets active 79d ago
0.0score
−$583 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$589 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1
Realized−$589
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses20 / 48
Open positions1
Markets (closed)68 / 35
Avg bet$271
Trades / day2762.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,002
7 days−$1,002
14 days−$1,002
30 days−$1,002
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 37¢ 3¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$51 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$38 -272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$23 -236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$10 +40%
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$21 -725%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$28 -30908%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$10 -165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$27 -243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$12 -315%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$17 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$39 -130%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $144 −$173 -120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$6 -187%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$30 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$16 +296%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $117 −$111 -95%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$60 -527%
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Mar 25 $36 +$11 +31%
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Mar 25 $204 +$36 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Mar 25 $87 −$10 -11%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Mar 25 $129 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Mar 25 $69 −$2 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Mar 25 $24 +$63 +270%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Mar 25 $107 −$8 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Mar 25 $128 +$6 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Mar 25 $132 −$6 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Mar 25 $152 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Mar 25 $105 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Mar 25 $170 +$5 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Mar 25 $115 −$3 -2%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Mar 25 $104 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Mar 25 $162 +$30 +18%
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Mar 25 $272 +$36 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Mar 25 $240 +$29 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$412
other 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $27 78d
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 78d
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $28 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 78d
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 78d
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $9 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 78d
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 78d
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 78d
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 78d
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 78d
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 78d
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 78d
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $10 78d
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 78d
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $4 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $8 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 78d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 78d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-38.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -76.4% -78.6% 9% 9% -84.9%
≤30d 33 -76.4% -78.6% 9% 9% -84.9%
≤90d 68 -31.9% -38.4% 29% 19% -12.8%
all 68 -31.9% -38.4% 29% 19% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2762.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.4% 19% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -44.3% 7% -21.1%
15% -49.7% 6% -28.7%
20% -54.6% 4% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.86 · official $0.86 (match) · 3500 history records