Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:11:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
70 0x70ef…09de crypto 866 markets active 1d ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d only
✗ bot/MM pace (533 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3,368 (-73%) realized −$3,368 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -43% what you keep after slip
Net edge-43%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate45%519W / 644L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day533.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$307
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (533 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-33.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1163 -25.9% -33.0% 45% 41% -51.4%
≤30d 1163 -25.9% -33.0% 45% 41% -51.4%
≤90d 1163 -25.9% -33.0% 45% 41% -51.4%
all 1163 -25.9% -33.0% 45% 41% -51.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover533.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.0% 41% -51.4%
10% ← realistic here -39.4% 33% -56.1%
15% -45.2% 24% -60.3%
20% -50.6% 17% -64.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -48% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -26% · $-wt -48% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +14% → late -66% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$8 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.21 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,368
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses519 / 644
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1163 / 866
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day533.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1163 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $0 −$11 -7164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$8 -129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$17 -115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records