Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:41:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7112…d58e
other · 122 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$75 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$75 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized−$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses11 / 110
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)121 / 122
History coverage95d
Avg bet$159
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 1 History 121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$14
14 days−$21
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 92¢ 92¢ $67 $67 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 12 $53 −$1 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Jun 12 $49 $0 -1%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $149 $0 -0%
Will Austria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $62 −$2 -3%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 11 $93 $0 -0%
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $60 −$2 -3%
Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $49 −$2 -4%
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $53 $0 -0%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $92 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 09 $54 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? Jun 09 $54 $0 +0%
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 09 $97 −$1 -1%
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 07 $49 −$1 -2%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $184 −$2 -1%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $256 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $19 −$1 -4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 06 $92 $0 -0%
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 05 $58 −$1 -1%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 05 $98 $0 -0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 04 $57 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $331 $0 -0%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 04 $52 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 04 $48 $0 +0%
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Jun 04 $68 −$1 -1%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 03 $67 $0 +0%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Jun 03 $50 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Jun 02 $49 −$1 -2%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 02 $175 −$1 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $58 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 01 $88 $0 -0%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $90 −$1 -1%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $65 −$1 -2%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 31 $50 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 31 $56 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 30 $47 $0 -1%
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 30 $46 −$1 -2%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet May 30 $59 $0 -0%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 28 $53 $0 -0%
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $45 $0 -0%
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? May 28 $56 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? May 27 $50 −$1 -3%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 27 $41 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 23 $372 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? May 22 $46 −$1 -1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 22 $116 −$1 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $248 −$1 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 21 $343 −$1 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 20 $244 −$1 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? May 20 $62 −$3 -6%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 20 $44 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 27% −$21
politics 26% −$12
other 24% −$27
crypto 11% −$4
finance 3% −$5
culture 3% −$1
economics 3% −$1
world 3% −$2
tech 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 92¢ $67 1h
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? SELL No 95¢ $52 2h
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 96¢ $53 7h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $49 7h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? BUY No 94¢ $49 15h
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 97¢ $49 16h
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 97¢ $49 24h
Will Austria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 93¢ $59 24h
Will Austria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 96¢ $62 33h
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 97¢ $46 33h
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 97¢ $46 38h
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? SELL No 90¢ $58 39h
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY No 92¢ $60 47h
Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 92¢ $47 2d
Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 94¢ $49 2d
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $53 2d
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $53 2d
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $48 2d
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $48 2d
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? SELL No 97¢ $53 2d
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY No 98¢ $54 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? SELL No 97¢ $54 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? BUY No 96¢ $54 3d
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 96¢ $51 3d
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 96¢ $20 5d
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 96¢ $31 5d
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? SELL No 93¢ $48 5d
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 95¢ $49 5d
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 97¢ $61 5d
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 97¢ $61 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -1.2% -10.6% 6% 0% -10.3%
≤30d 57 -0.9% -10.4% 2% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 113 -0.6% -10.0% 10% 0% -9.9%
all 121 -0.6% -10.0% 9% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 0% -9.9%
10% -18.7% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.70 · official $66.70 (match) · 430 history records