trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $9 | $9 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $6 | $6 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | Up | 30¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | Up | 38¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | Up | 59¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +30% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +22% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | Jun 13 | $3 | +$1 | +38% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | +$1 | +27% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | −$1 | -38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | Jun 13 | $10 | +$8 | +81% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | Jun 13 | $8 | $0 | +5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +109% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $4 | +$5 | +114% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +35% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 59% | 50% | +1.1% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 59% | 50% | +1.1% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 59% | 50% | +1.1% |
| all | 22 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 59% | 50% | +1.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -18.9% | 50% | +1.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -26.7% | 36% | -8.6% |
| 15% | -33.7% | 18% | -17.4% |
| 20% | -40.2% | 14% | -25.5% |