Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:02:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x711d…3490
crypto · 915 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$264 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$264 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$264
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses430 / 485
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)915 / 915
History coverage7d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day349.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 915 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$107
7 days−$255
14 days−$264
30 days−$264
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$7 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$6 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$262
sports 0% −$2
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $9 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $9 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 901 -4.9% -14.0% 47% 13% -10.3%
≤30d 915 -4.1% -13.3% 47% 13% -10.4%
≤90d 915 -4.1% -13.3% 47% 13% -10.4%
all 915 -4.1% -13.3% 47% 13% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover349.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 13% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 6% -18.9%
15% -29.1% 3% -26.8%
20% -36.1% 2% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records