Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:44:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x711f…04f2
crypto · 271 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses161 / 103
Open positions7
Markets (closed)264 / 271
History coverage67d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 7 History 264 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days+$45
14 days+$45
30 days+$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+29%)
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 24¢ 30¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 28¢ 35¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 7¢ 8¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No 47¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 23¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-28%)
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 11¢ 5¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - April 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +110%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$6 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$14 +55%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +45%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$32 +162%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$7 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$2 -13%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -60%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +52%
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -38%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - April 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +21%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% −$20
other 21% +$17
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $4 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +4.6% -5.3% 77% 45% +8.4%
≤30d 77 +2.2% -7.5% 71% 45% +6.5%
≤90d 264 -12.7% -21.0% 61% 33% -9.7%
all 264 -12.7% -21.0% 61% 33% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.0% 33% -9.7%
10% -28.6% 20% -18.4%
15% -35.5% 12% -26.3%
20% -41.8% 7% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.93 · official $21.93 (match) · 668 history records