Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:04:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7121…b28d
crypto · 35 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$71 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$71 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses11 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)35 / 35
History coverage1d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day895.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71
7 days−$71
14 days−$71
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $70 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$16 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$12 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $41 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $65 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$9 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $61 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$9 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$71
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -3.2% -12.4% 31% 11% -16.2%
≤30d 35 -3.2% -12.4% 31% 11% -16.2%
≤90d 35 -3.2% -12.4% 31% 11% -16.2%
all 35 -3.2% -12.4% 31% 11% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover895.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 11% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 6% -24.2%
15% -28.5% 6% -31.5%
20% -35.5% 3% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 988 history records