Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7132…066c
crypto · 20 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$101 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$101 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$101
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses9 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)20 / 20
Avg bet$22
Trades / day19.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 20 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$101
7 days−$101
14 days−$101
30 days−$101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$18 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$10 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $118 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$62 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$22 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$101
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $29 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-41.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -34.9% -41.1% 45% 20% -32.6%
≤30d 20 -34.9% -41.1% 45% 20% -32.6%
≤90d 20 -34.9% -41.1% 45% 20% -32.6%
all 20 -34.9% -41.1% 45% 20% -32.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -41.1% 20% -32.6%
10% -46.7% 15% -39.1%
15% -51.9% 15% -44.9%
20% -56.6% 10% -50.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 64 history records