Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:18:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7144…0224
sports · 355 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$14 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$215 · open −$44
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,974
Realized+$215
Unrealized−$44
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses302 / 8
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions45
Markets (closed)310 / 355
History coverage5d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day109.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 45 History 310 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$193
7 days+$215
14 days+$215
30 days+$215
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 13? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 14? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 14? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 14? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 95¢ 100¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 95¢ 99¢ $100 $104 +$4 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14? No 95¢ 98¢ $100 $104 +$4 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14? No 95¢ 96¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 95¢ 96¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? No 95¢ 96¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? No 95¢ 96¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? No 95¢ 96¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14? No 95¢ 94¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Under 95¢ 93¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 95¢ 93¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $99 +$6 +6%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $99 +$6 +6%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $23 +$1 +5%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 14 $99 +$7 +7%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 14 $100 +$6 +6%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? Jun 14 $82 +$4 +5%
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) Jun 14 $38 +$2 +5%
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Knicks (-13.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Spread: Knicks (-11.5) Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% +$158
other 15% +$24
weather 12% −$41
crypto 2% +$20
world 1% $0
culture 1% +$5
finance 0% +$2
politics 0% +$1
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 95¢ $100 33m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $6 55m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $38 57m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $30 57m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $11 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $23 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $67 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $19 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 95¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 95¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 BUY Under 95¢ $100 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 95¢ $100 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 95¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 BUY Under 94¢ $99 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $35 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $52 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $48 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $57 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $35 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 95¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $14 1h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $26 2h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $6 2h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $7 2h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $62 2h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 95¢ $15 2h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye? BUY No 95¢ $100 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 310 +2.5% -7.3% 97% 0% -8.3%
≤30d 310 +2.5% -7.3% 97% 0% -8.3%
≤90d 310 +2.5% -7.3% 97% 0% -8.3%
all 310 +2.5% -7.3% 97% 0% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover109.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 0% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 0% -17.1%
15% -24.2% 0% -25.1%
20% -31.7% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,974.01 · official $2,977.14 (match) · 793 history records