Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:21:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7145…4265
crypto · 381 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$109 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$108 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$108
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses148 / 232
Open positions1
Markets (closed)380 / 381
History coverage32d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day19.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 380 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$10
14 days−$30
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Up 58¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -49%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -51%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -46%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -53%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +84%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -45%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$1 -45%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -46%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$1 -47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$109
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -5.5% -14.5% 39% 38% -14.7%
≤30d 278 -3.5% -12.7% 42% 42% -15.5%
≤90d 380 -7.0% -15.9% 39% 39% -17.4%
all 380 -7.0% -15.9% 39% 39% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.9% 39% -17.4%
10% -23.9% 38% -25.3%
15% -31.3% 33% -32.5%
20% -38.0% 17% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.68 · official $2.68 (match) · 761 history records