Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:38:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7149…e14e
crypto · 1553 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$97 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses878 / 675
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1553 / 1553
History coverage58d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day42.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1553 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$14
14 days+$22
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 1AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 3PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +129%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +147%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +133%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 1AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +121%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$6 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$6 +196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$5 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +143%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$11
other 0% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 10h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $0 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $1 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 34h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 37h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 +22.0% +10.4% 58% 58% +6.5%
≤30d 278 -3.4% -12.6% 46% 46% -5.5%
≤90d 1553 -1.8% -11.1% 57% 51% -9.1%
all 1553 -1.8% -11.1% 57% 51% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 51% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 43% -17.8%
15% -27.4% 35% -25.7%
20% -34.5% 28% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records