Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:15:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
71 0x7152…faac crypto 424 markets active 2h ago coverage 27d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 27d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (127 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$30 (+1%) realized +$90 · open −$60
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -72% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -78% what you keep after slip
Net edge-78%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate3%17W / 580L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day127.3pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$341now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 78% +$293
other 10% −$83
tech 9% −$153
finance 3% +$82
sports 0% +$3
world 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (127 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-74.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 430 -97.9% -98.1% 0% 0% -98.5%
≤30d 597 -71.7% -74.4% 3% 3% -86.4%
≤90d 597 -71.7% -74.4% 3% 3% -86.4%
all 597 -71.7% -74.4% 3% 3% -86.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover127.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -74.4% 3% -86.4%
10% ← realistic here -76.8% 3% -87.7%
15% -79.1% 3% -88.9%
20% -81.1% 3% -90.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 28% · top 2 47% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -78% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -72% · $-wt -78% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -46% → late -98% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
8.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$83 vs −$12 · ×6.78 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.2 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$341
Realized+$90
Unrealized−$60
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses17 / 580
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions14
Markets (closed)597 / 424
History coverage27d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day127.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 14 History 597 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $195 $177 −$18 (-9%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? No 0¢ 1¢ $15 $49 +$34 (+216%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? No 1¢ 1¢ $19 $25 +$6 (+31%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? No 0¢ 0¢ $34 $22 −$12 (-35%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $25 $18 −$6 (-26%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? No 0¢ 0¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+26%)
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $43 $12 −$31 (-72%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? No 0¢ 0¢ $25 $9 −$17 (-65%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? No 0¢ 0¢ $12 $6 −$6 (-50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 18? No 0¢ 0¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 17? No 0¢ 0¢ $6 $2 −$4 (-66%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? No 1¢ 0¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-33%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 18? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-64%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 486 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 8? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2? Jun 17 $60 −$60 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 17? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 12? Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on February 14? Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Solana dip to $120 January 12-18? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 7? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 8? Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7? Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 7? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17? Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 5? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 25? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin above 79,800 on May 12, 9AM ET? Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 3-9? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 28? Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on November 19? Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on April 1? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 1? Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 5? Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9? Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on December 9? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on October 22? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025? Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 8? Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on December 19? Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1? Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 12? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30? Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 30? Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on December 23? Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 3? Jun 17 $39 −$39 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 13? Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 1? Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum above $4000 on August 15? Jun 17 $65 −$65 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 29? Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6? Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 5? Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 4? Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 5? Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 12? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 22? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 9? Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 29-January 4? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 15? Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on February 14? Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 13? Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25? Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY No 1¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY No 1¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? BUY No 0¢ $12 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY No 0¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? BUY No 0¢ $2 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? BUY No 0¢ $3 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $341.37 · official $341.37 (match) · 3500 history records