Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:24:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x715e…4a2f
sports · 187 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$96 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$86 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$86
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses111 / 72
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions4
Markets (closed)183 / 187
History coverage66d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day18.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 183 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days+$51
14 days−$16
30 days−$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? No 40¢ 50¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+24%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Gen.G 49¢ 50¢ $7 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12? No 61¢ 43¢ $9 $6 −$3 (-30%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 65¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+54%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$1 -14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$5 +45%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $4 +$1 +35%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -72%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 11 $1 −$1 -88%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $5 −$5 -92%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $8 +$2 +22%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $8 −$1 -12%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $6 +$3 +59%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10? Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 8? Jun 09 $6 +$1 +12%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South A Jun 08 $4 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Ju Jun 08 $4 −$4 -90%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$5 +46%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $8 +$15 +203%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$5 +45%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 7? Jun 07 $2 $0 +12%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $10 +$30 +287%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$7 -71%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$9 -92%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $5 −$2 -33%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$7 +67%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$1 -7%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$19 +180%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1 +$1 +90%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$1 -12%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$2 -22%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6? Jun 07 $2 +$6 +274%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Jun Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 6? Jun 06 $2 −$1 -36%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 06 $0 $0 -61%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $4 +$1 +24%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $2 $0 -25%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $1 −$1 -90%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6? Jun 06 $6 +$4 +69%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$1 -10%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $2 $0 -14%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $10 +$3 +25%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $10 +$10 +100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $10 $0 -2%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $7 −$1 -9%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $3 +$1 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 50% −$54
crypto 35% −$19
weather 15% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju SELL No 75¢ $1 6m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju SELL No 77¢ $0 7m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY No 61¢ $10 10m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 52¢ $1 18m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 40¢ $10 38m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 46¢ $2 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 46¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 46¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 46¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 74¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 43¢ $4 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 57¢ $7 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $7 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $3 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +22.4% +10.7% 48% 42% +2.9%
≤30d 96 +7.8% -2.5% 46% 41% -15.4%
≤90d 183 +3.3% -6.5% 61% 30% -14.1%
all 183 +3.3% -6.5% 61% 30% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.5% 30% -14.1%
10% -15.5% 23% -22.3%
15% -23.6% 16% -29.8%
20% -31.1% 13% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.63 · official $25.14 (match) · 1369 history records