trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +217.5% | +187.2% | 50% | 50% | -44.8% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +217.5% | +187.2% | 50% | 50% | -44.8% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +217.5% | +187.2% | 50% | 50% | -44.8% |
| all | 4 | +217.5% | +187.2% | 50% | 50% | -44.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +187.2% | 50% | -44.8% |
| 10% | +159.8% | 50% | -50.1% |
| 15% | +134.7% | 50% | -54.9% |
| 20% | +111.7% | 25% | -59.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | No | 21¢ | 40¢ | $50 | $94 | +$44 (+88%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $75 | −$25 (-25%) |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 19? | No | 34¢ | 29¢ | $15 | $13 | −$2 (-15%) |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in June? | No | 87¢ | 73¢ | $15 | $13 | −$2 (-16%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 22¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-34%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-17%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 June 15-21? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-82%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 18? | Jun 18 | $11 | +$109 | +1021% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 18? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$5 | +49% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? | Jun 17 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |