trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 20% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 38% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 38% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 19 | +106.5% | +86.9% | 63% | 5% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +86.9% | 5% | -9.1% |
| 10% | +69.0% | 5% | -17.8% |
| 15% | +52.6% | 5% | -25.7% |
| 20% | +37.7% | 5% | -33.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 19 | $42 | −$1 | -2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 26 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 26 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 25 | $43 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 27 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | Jun 24 | $0 | +$1 | +3600% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 05 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea ele | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $11 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 26 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +3% |