trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +57.6% | +42.6% | 50% | 50% | +16.6% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +57.6% | +42.6% | 50% | 50% | +16.6% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +57.6% | +42.6% | 50% | 50% | +16.6% |
| all | 16 | +57.6% | +42.6% | 50% | 50% | +16.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +42.6% | 50% | +16.6% |
| 10% | +29.0% | 50% | +5.5% |
| 15% | +16.5% | 50% | -4.7% |
| 20% | +5.1% | 50% | -14.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 6¢ | $530 | $749 | +$219 (+41%) |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | No | 55¢ | 55¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | Over | 54¢ | 54¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Under | 54¢ | 54¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 50¢ | 48¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-4%) |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $50 | $47 | −$3 (-6%) |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Over | 22¢ | 20¢ | $50 | $47 | −$3 (-7%) |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $50 | $46 | −$4 (-8%) |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Uruguay | 38¢ | 40¢ | $35 | $36 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 0 Cabo Verde? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Egypt? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran? | Jun 21 | $51 | −$6 | -12% |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia? | Jun 21 | $51 | −$9 | -17% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $48 | +$28 | +60% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $101 | +$115 | +114% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $51 | +$449 | +874% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $100 | +$60 | +60% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$26 | +52% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $100 | +$60 | +60% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$36 | +70% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $62 | −$61 | -98% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $100 | +$263 | +262% |
| Qatar to score first vs. Canada? | Jun 18 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Korea Republic to score first vs. Mexico? | Jun 18 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $99 | −$97 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $98 | −$96 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $188 | −$184 | -98% |