Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:29:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7171…697a
sports · 132 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$784 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$614 · open −$170
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$223
Realized−$614
Unrealized−$170
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses39 / 81
Est. fees paid−$104
Open positions12
Markets (closed)120 / 132
Avg bet$62
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 12 History 120 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$92
7 days−$122
14 days−$122
30 days−$1,247
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $68 $67 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 56¢ $29 $28 −$1 (-3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $24 $24 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $22 $21 −$0 (-2%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 52¢ 52¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $17 $16 −$0 (-3%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? Yes 48¢ 47¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 65¢ 0¢ $146 $0 −$146 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 58¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs LOS 42¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs Nongshim Esports Academy 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 27¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Dplus KIA 52¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 29¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs T1 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 15¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Dplus KIA Challengers 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs Dplus KIA 14¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $106 −$92 -87%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $235 −$64 -27%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $61 −$37 -61%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $122 +$72 +59%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 28 $164 −$13 -8%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $52 −$20 -38%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 28 $31 −$15 -49%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 28 $41 +$45 +110%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $22 −$22 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff May 25 $14 −$14 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 25 $42 −$42 -99%
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoff May 18 $4 −$4 -97%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner May 18 $5 −$4 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers Leagu May 18 $9 $0 -6%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner May 15 $213 −$130 -61%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $9 +$1 +10%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner May 15 $81 +$55 +68%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 15 $44 −$36 -82%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 15 $101 −$58 -57%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 15 $203 −$169 -83%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 14 $220 −$219 -99%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 14 $81 −$50 -62%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 14 $67 −$45 -68%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 14 $81 +$98 +121%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner May 14 $389 +$186 +48%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 14 $30 −$18 -61%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner May 14 $74 +$26 +35%
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 14 $75 −$75 -100%
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 14 $382 −$377 -99%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner May 14 $301 +$33 +11%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 14 $84 −$4 -5%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner May 14 $41 −$40 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 14 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 13 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana May 13 $187 −$183 -98%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 12 $142 +$20 +14%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 12 $81 +$87 +107%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea May 12 $293 +$216 +74%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 12 $137 −$5 -4%
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 12 $81 −$47 -57%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 12 $61 −$60 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner May 12 $145 +$130 +90%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? May 12 $40 −$8 -21%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff May 12 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 12 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 12 $41 −$40 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 09 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 09 $162 −$40 -25%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 09 $81 +$72 +89%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner May 06 $15 −$15 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$767
other 5% +$74
crypto 4% −$90
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 68¢ $50 45m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 61¢ $50 47m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 68¢ $48 52m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 25¢ $10 54m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $20 58m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 26¢ $20 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $20 2h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 48¢ $8 3h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 3h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $22 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $24 3h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 68¢ $69 3h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $9 3h
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 53¢ $21 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $29 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $17 4h
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 5¢ $31 3d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 5¢ $10 3d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 5¢ $5 3d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Anyones Legend 20¢ $22 3d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Anyones Legend 11¢ $124 3d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 55¢ $45 3d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 32¢ $10 3d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 14¢ $106 3d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 12¢ $12 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 12¢ $12 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 11¢ $23 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $141 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 56¢ $81 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Anyones Legend 24¢ $40 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-29.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -57.0% -61.1% 25% 25% -31.3%
≤30d 35 -51.1% -55.7% 23% 20% -42.3%
≤90d 70 -46.4% -51.5% 26% 24% -26.0%
all 120 -22.2% -29.6% 32% 32% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.6% 32% -15.6%
10% -36.4% 28% -23.7%
15% -42.5% 27% -31.1%
20% -48.1% 23% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $223.31 · official $224.33 (match) · 374 history records