Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:13:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7179…7d79
sports · 1617 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$2,879 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,182 · open −$69
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$139
Realized+$5,182
Unrealized−$69
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses854 / 643
Est. fees paid−$779
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1497 / 1617
History coverage21d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day116.3
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 7 History 1497 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$348
7 days−$228
14 days+$1,980
30 days+$5,182
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Under 50¢ 79¢ $72 $114 +$42 (+59%)
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves Toronto Marlies 43¢ 100¢ $7 $17 +$10 (+134%)
Petra Marcinko vs. Aoi Ito: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 56¢ 50¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-9%)
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Gimnasia 49¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Gigantes de Carolina vs. Cangrejeros de Santurce Gigantes de Carolina 46¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Panna Udvardy vs. Viktorija Golubic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Jan Kumstat Jan Kumstat 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 52¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 57¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) Hurricanes 43¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 46¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 49¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5 Under 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Cholet Cholet 52¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Cincinnati Reds 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 53¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Eintracht Spandau 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs OG 40¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5) Jodar 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Vicenza: Mika Brunold vs Massimo Giunta Massimo Giunta 37¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Bicknell vs Monday Bicknell 41¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Set Handicap: Wang (-1.5) vs Kudermetova (+1.5) Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Set Handicap: Sasnovich (-1.5) vs Ribera (+1.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Wuerzburg vs. Telekom Baskets Bonn Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-05-23? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Mboko vs Cristian Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alexis Galarneau vs Federico Cina Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Set Handicap: Krueger (-1.5) vs Stoiana (+1.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-23? Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Minaur vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Fortaleza EC vs. Londrina EC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Portoroz: Dalila Jakupovic vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
São Paulo FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Set Handicap: Nava (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-22? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublik Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Cervia: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Tommaso Compagnucci Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Ne Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Istanbul: Franco Agamenone vs Andrej Nedic Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23? Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $73 +$84 +115%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $37 +$34 +93%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $73 +$53 +73%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $110 +$93 +85%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5 Jun 14 $4 +$5 +109%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $37 +$33 +90%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $53 +$61 +115%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $73 +$62 +84%
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera Jun 13 $73 +$7 +9%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $14 −$14 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$5,919
other 8% −$220
crypto 0% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 54¢ $36 3m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 46¢ $37 4m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 49¢ $37 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 43¢ $37 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 51¢ $37 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Under 36¢ $2 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Under 37¢ $35 1h
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa BUY Gimnasia 52¢ $35 2h
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa BUY Gimnasia 47¢ $37 2h
Gigantes de Carolina vs. Cangrejeros de Santurce BUY Gigantes de Carolina 46¢ $16 2h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 57¢ $36 2h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 57¢ $36 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5 BUY Under 47¢ $4 3h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 52¢ $37 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 54¢ $36 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 48¢ $10 5h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 41¢ $37 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 46¢ $5 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $37 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 53¢ $37 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 45¢ $17 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 46¢ $37 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 54¢ $36 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 53¢ $37 6h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 58¢ $35 6h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 50¢ $37 6h
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera BUY Antonia Rivera 45¢ $37 7h
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera BUY Martina Capurro Taborda 51¢ $37 7h
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia: O/U 174.5 BUY Over 56¢ $7 8h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 53¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 414 -2.5% -11.8% 48% 47% -10.9%
≤30d 1497 +13.2% +2.5% 57% 56% -0.6%
≤90d 1497 +13.2% +2.5% 57% 56% -0.6%
all 1497 +13.2% +2.5% 57% 56% -0.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover116.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.5% 56% -0.6%
10% ← realistic here -7.3% 56% -10.1%
15% -16.3% 53% -18.8%
20% -24.5% 46% -26.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $138.53 · official $138.53 (match) · 3500 history records