Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:08:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x717b…58b3
crypto · 56 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$113 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$113 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$113
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses18 / 39
Open positions0
Markets (closed)57 / 56
History coverage1d
Avg bet$186
Trades / day3444.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$113
7 days−$113
14 days−$113
30 days−$113
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $217 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $260 −$9 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $226 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $338 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $372 −$5 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $203 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $246 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $242 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $120 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $318 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $358 −$13 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $367 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $137 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$7 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$24 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $85 +$31 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$11 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $84 +$16 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $86 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $123 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$14 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$10 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$7 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$7 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$16 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$10 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $146 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $140 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$31 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $182 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $136 −$16 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $251 −$6 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $417 −$17 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $433 −$10 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $830 −$27 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $376 −$23 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $470 −$46 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)+15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +27.8% +15.7% 32% 11% -13.2%
≤30d 57 +27.8% +15.7% 32% 11% -13.2%
≤90d 57 +27.8% +15.7% 32% 11% -13.2%
all 57 +27.8% +15.7% 32% 11% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3444.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +15.7% 11% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here +4.6% 5% -21.5%
15% -5.5% 4% -29.1%
20% -14.8% 2% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records