Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:10:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
71 0x7181…2d84 crypto 1649 markets active 6d ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d only
✗ bot/MM pace (85 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$87 (+1%) realized +$87 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate79%1302W / 346L
Drawdown93%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day84.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$6
14 days−$32
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (85 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -45.7% -50.9% 17% 17% -52.4%
≤30d 1385 +0.2% -9.3% 79% 57% -9.6%
≤90d 1648 +0.8% -8.8% 79% 56% -9.5%
all 1648 +0.8% -8.8% 79% 56% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover84.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 56% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 14% -18.1%
15% -25.5% 1% -26.0%
20% -32.8% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses1302 / 346
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1648 / 1649
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day84.9
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1648 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 08 $8 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 08 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 08 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 08 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 08 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$2 -42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $3 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $4 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records