trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -44.2% | -49.5% | 14% | 14% | -52.7% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -23.1% | -30.5% | 32% | 32% | -45.5% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -23.1% | -30.5% | 32% | 32% | -45.5% |
| all | 22 | -23.1% | -30.5% | 32% | 32% | -45.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.5% | 32% | -45.5% |
| 10% | -37.1% | 27% | -50.7% |
| 15% | -43.2% | 23% | -55.4% |
| 20% | -48.8% | 23% | -59.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 4.5 | Under | 98¢ | 100¢ | $52 | $53 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $5 | +$4 | +72% |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $45 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $4 | −$4 | -96% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $20 | −$16 | -80% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $17 | −$17 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $229 | −$226 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $230 | −$1 | -0% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $10 | +$9 | +88% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $62 | −$20 | -32% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 | Jun 14 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Spread: Germany (-4.5) | Jun 14 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $31 | +$9 | +28% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$37 | +362% |
| Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Jun 13 | $9 | −$3 | -35% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $23 | −$22 | -98% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $21 | +$18 | +90% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $20 | +$12 | +57% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $63 | +$7 | +11% |