Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x719d…a545
crypto · 381 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$253 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$253 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$253
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses208 / 173
Open positions0
Markets (closed)381 / 381
History coverage57d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day13.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 381 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$279
7 days−$267
14 days−$267
30 days−$389
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$12 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$15 -72%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$18 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$20 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$9 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$15 -73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$17 -81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$17 -81%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$14 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$9 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$14 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$6 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$17 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$14 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$17 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$18 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$5 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$8 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$10 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$7 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$5 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$10 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$253
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $19 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $8 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $6 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $21 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $21 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $7 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 223 -10.3% -18.9% 62% 62% -18.9%
≤30d 284 -7.7% -16.5% 55% 54% -21.0%
≤90d 381 -5.3% -14.3% 55% 52% -15.5%
all 381 -5.3% -14.3% 55% 52% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 52% -15.5%
10% -22.5% 42% -23.6%
15% -30.0% 26% -31.0%
20% -36.8% 13% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 975 history records