Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x71a7…6fcf
crypto · 111 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$71,694 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$67,634 · open +$2,850
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$33,602
Realized+$67,634
Unrealized+$2,850
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses66 / 27
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Open positions41
Markets (closed)93 / 111
Avg bet$4,278
Trades / day263.4
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 41 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,786
7 days+$43,204
14 days+$67,634
30 days+$67,634
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Yes 68¢ 100¢ $7,331 $10,823 +$3,492 (+48%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 12? Yes 86¢ 100¢ $6,403 $7,435 +$1,032 (+16%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? No 90¢ 100¢ $5,054 $5,607 +$553 (+11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? No 87¢ 99¢ $3,977 $4,524 +$546 (+14%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? No 92¢ 100¢ $1,079 $1,172 +$93 (+9%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 13? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $805 $823 +$19 (+2%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 16? Yes 74¢ 96¢ $388 $505 +$117 (+30%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 12? Yes 92¢ 100¢ $465 $505 +$40 (+9%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Yes 88¢ 100¢ $447 $504 +$57 (+13%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14? No 88¢ 99¢ $347 $389 +$43 (+12%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? No 13¢ 4¢ $703 $186 −$516 (-73%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 17? Yes 69¢ 92¢ $114 $152 +$38 (+33%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? No 9¢ 6¢ $208 $127 −$80 (-39%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 16? No 4¢ 2¢ $199 $114 −$85 (-43%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? No 10¢ 2¢ $491 $100 −$390 (-80%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 16? Yes 85¢ 97¢ $84 $96 +$11 (+14%)
Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on June 12? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $89 $93 +$4 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $81 $63 −$18 (-22%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 12? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $59 $61 +$2 (+3%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 13? Yes 80¢ 99¢ $40 $49 +$9 (+24%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 14? Yes 86¢ 97¢ $43 $49 +$6 (+13%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 16? No 98¢ 100¢ $42 $43 +$1 (+2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15? No 7¢ 2¢ $192 $41 −$151 (-78%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? No 95¢ 98¢ $28 $29 +$1 (+3%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 13? Yes 91¢ 99¢ $20 $21 +$2 (+8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 6? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29? Jun 12 $392 −$374 -95%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 30? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +938%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -38%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29? Jun 12 $141 −$141 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28? Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 6? Jun 12 $111 −$109 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on June 1? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down on May 19? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2? Jun 12 $180 −$79 -44%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5? Jun 12 $45 +$1,253 +2796%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31? Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 31? Jun 12 $307 −$175 -57%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30? Jun 12 $32 −$26 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 2? Jun 12 $3,713 −$4,789 -129%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1? Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30? Jun 12 $14 +$29 +208%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 7? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2? Jun 12 $286 +$805 +282%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3? Jun 12 $0 +$28 +34134%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? Jun 11 $545 +$40 +7%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,275 +$127 +10%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 11? Jun 11 $4,647 +$397 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $5,371 +$457 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 11? Jun 11 $4,825 +$175 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $12,457 +$4,044 +32%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $21,984 +$5,241 +24%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 10? Jun 10 $10,167 +$544 +5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 10? Jun 10 $563 +$35 +6%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,285 +$103 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 10? Jun 10 $4,643 +$362 +8%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 11? Jun 10 $69 +$26 +38%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 09 $765 +$382 +50%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 9? Jun 09 $937 −$44 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $3,742 +$121 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? Jun 09 $5,531 +$91 +2%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 9? Jun 09 $944 +$73 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 9? Jun 09 $210 +$5 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $2,516 +$1,298 +52%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $4,238 +$885 +21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $3,237 +$346 +11%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 8? Jun 08 $203 +$369 +182%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $30 +$166 +560%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,175 +$116 +10%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 8? Jun 08 $70 +$2 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,366 +$67 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$74,223
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY No 9¢ $0 12m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 81¢ $4 12m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? BUY No 6¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY No 6¢ $24 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 76¢ $10 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY No 15¢ $6 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 75¢ $4 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18? BUY No 87¢ $4 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18? BUY No 87¢ $4 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18? BUY No 87¢ $4 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 15¢ $7 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 14¢ $1 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17? BUY No 92¢ $0 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18? BUY No 90¢ $1 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? BUY No 3¢ $5 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY No 4¢ $2 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 8¢ $4 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 4¢ $80 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? BUY No 9¢ $431 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY No 1¢ $46 13h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15? BUY No 3¢ $23 13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 8¢ $0 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 91¢ $20 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY No 2¢ $14 16h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? BUY No 10¢ $2 16h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 16? BUY No 4¢ $196 16h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 17? BUY No 5¢ $0 16h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 17? BUY Yes 91¢ $10 16h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 16? BUY No 4¢ $9 16h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 88¢ $6 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+203.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 +264.1% +229.4% 72% 41% +9.6%
≤30d 93 +235.5% +203.6% 71% 41% +4.9%
≤90d 93 +235.5% +203.6% 71% 41% +4.9%
all 93 +235.5% +203.6% 71% 41% +4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover263.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +203.6% 41% +4.9%
10% +174.5% 31% -5.1%
15% ← realistic here +148.0% 29% -14.3%
20% +123.7% 27% -22.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33,602.25 · official $33,601.80 (match) · 3500 history records