Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T13:19:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
71 0x71a8…96c4 crypto 1405 markets active 1h ago coverage 79d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1 (-0%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate98%1372W / 33L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day20.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$30now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days−$23
14 days−$47
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$34
world 0% −$2
other 0% +$3
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 284 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 2% -9.8%
≤30d 998 +0.0% -9.5% 98% 2% -9.5%
≤90d 1405 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 2% -9.6%
all 1405 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 2% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 2% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 1% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$20 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

79d coverage
Net worth$30
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1372 / 33
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1405 / 1405
History coverage79d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day20.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1405 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 19 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 19 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 19 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 19 $27 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 18 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 18 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 18 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 18 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $27 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 18 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $27 +$3 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $29 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $27 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $28 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.00 · official $30.00 (match) · 3060 history records