Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:53:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x71b0…1023
crypto · 20 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses18 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)20 / 20
History coverage167d
Avg bet$99
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 20 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Jun 14 $111 $0 +0%
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17? Jun 06 $105 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? May 13 $112 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 April 13-19? Apr 22 $112 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 April 6-12? Apr 16 $112 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5? Apr 07 $86 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? Apr 02 $112 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29? Mar 30 $113 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 March 16-22? Mar 25 $109 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8? Mar 09 $108 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $190 in February? Mar 02 $112 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 16-22? Feb 24 $110 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January? Feb 20 $114 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 19-25? Jan 26 $110 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 12-18? Jan 22 $111 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 5-11? Jan 15 $112 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 29-January 4? Jan 07 $113 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026? Jan 02 $111 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$3
finance 6% $0
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $111 1h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? BUY No 99¢ $111 6d
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17? BUY No 100¢ $105 30d
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30? BUY No 10¢ $1 49d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? BUY No 100¢ $112 52d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 April 13-19? BUY No 100¢ $112 58d
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 April 6-12? BUY No 100¢ $112 65d
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5? BUY No 100¢ $86 72d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? BUY No 100¢ $112 75d
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29? BUY No 100¢ $113 78d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 March 16-22? BUY No 100¢ $109 85d
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31? BUY No 73¢ $2 94d
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8? BUY No 100¢ $108 99d
Will Solana reach $190 in February? BUY No 100¢ $112 109d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 16-22? BUY No 100¢ $110 113d
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January? BUY No 100¢ $114 138d
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 19-25? BUY No 99¢ $110 142d
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 12-18? BUY No 100¢ $111 149d
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 5-11? BUY No 100¢ $112 155d
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 29-January 4? BUY No 100¢ $113 161d
Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026? BUY No 100¢ $111 166d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 4 -49.9% -54.7% 50% 0% -10.7%
≤90d 11 -18.1% -25.9% 82% 0% -9.7%
all 20 -9.9% -18.4% 90% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -9.5%
10% -26.3% 0% -18.2%
15% -33.4% 0% -26.1%
20% -39.9% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 40 history records