Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:32:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x71b4…e2fa
crypto · 737 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$63 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized+$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses620 / 117
Open positions0
Markets (closed)737 / 737
History coverage46d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day16.2
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 737 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$16
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 07 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 02 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 02 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 02 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 02 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 31 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 31 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 31 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 31 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 31 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 31 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 31 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET May 31 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET May 31 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 31 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 31 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET May 31 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 31 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET May 31 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET May 31 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 31 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 31 $4 −$4 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -3.0% -12.2% 85% 46% -10.9%
≤30d 278 -0.0% -9.6% 81% 59% -8.6%
≤90d 737 +0.1% -9.5% 84% 54% -8.7%
all 737 +0.1% -9.5% 84% 54% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 54% -8.7%
10% -18.1% 28% -17.4%
15% -26.0% 9% -25.4%
20% -33.3% 3% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.19 · official $23.19 (match) · 1363 history records