Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x71bd…ac00
crypto · 100 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$30 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$139
Realized+$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses7 / 87
Whale WR (big bets)27%
Open positions6
Markets (closed)94 / 100
History coverage7d
Avg bet$361
Trades / day518.1
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 6 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$31
14 days+$31
30 days+$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 99¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $29 $29 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 16? No 100¢ 99¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-0%)
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $111 $0 -0%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 12 $212 $0 -0%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $179 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $99 $0 -0%
Trump out as President by June 30? Jun 12 $571 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $233 $0 -0%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? Jun 12 $26 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $41 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $43 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 8-14? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Ju Jun 12 $12 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $95 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 14? Jun 12 $21 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $278 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14? Jun 12 $63 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $40 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $50 $0 -0%
Will Barron Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 12 $69 −$1 -1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June? Jun 12 $11 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $291 $0 -0%
Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cu Jun 12 $31 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $40 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? Jun 12 $15 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $19 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 12 $106 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–J Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $50 $0 -0%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 12 $4,956 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet Jun 11 $225 +$20 +9%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $179 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026? Jun 11 $30 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $21 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $41 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $12 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $39 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 58% +$15
economics 22% +$19
crypto 9% −$1
other 8% −$1
politics 3% $0
tech 0% −$1
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL No 99¢ $10 5m
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? SELL No 99¢ $20 9m
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? BUY No 99¢ $20 43m
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $20 47m
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $20 47m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $21 50m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $21 50m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $19 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $19 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $19 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $19 1h
Trump out as President by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? SELL Yes 99¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $8 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $11 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $19 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? SELL Yes 99¢ $20 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $11 1h
Trump out as President by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $8 1h
Trump out as President by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $10 1h
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 1h
Trump out as President by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $21 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $20 1h
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 -0.2% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 94 -0.2% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 94 -0.2% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.4%
all 94 -0.2% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover518.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $139.01 · official $139.01 (match) · 3500 history records