Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:25:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x71c7…b6c4
crypto · 330 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,608 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,608 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,608
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses190 / 140
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$172
Open positions0
Markets (closed)330 / 330
History coverage95d
Avg bet$144
Trades / day20.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 330 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$283
14 days−$1,398
30 days−$2,121
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 87¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $263 $0 −$263 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $1,133 $0 −$1,133 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 10¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 28¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$33 +66%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$23 +46%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $101 +$42 +41%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $44 −$43 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $111 +$20 +18%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$24 +79%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $101 +$35 +34%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $30 +$16 +54%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $100 +$17 +17%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $41 +$53 +129%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $361 −$10 -3%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $107 −$105 -98%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $51 +$48 +95%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $112 −$110 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $101 +$75 +74%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $112 −$99 -89%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $101 +$82 +81%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $76 +$112 +147%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $30 −$9 -31%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $30 +$10 +34%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $30 +$12 +38%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $202 +$77 +38%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $51 +$42 +82%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $58 −$17 -29%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $102 +$116 +114%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $15 −$15 -97%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 07 $180 −$84 -47%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $201 +$42 +21%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $101 +$17 +17%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $162 −$160 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $3,996 +$1,453 +36%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $2,976 −$1,842 -62%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $1,151 −$1,133 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET May 18 $460 −$450 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET May 18 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET May 18 $95 −$92 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET May 18 $87 +$63 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET May 18 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET May 18 $93 +$25 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET May 18 $265 +$125 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET May 18 $67 −$63 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET May 18 $130 +$69 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET May 18 $153 −$150 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET May 18 $127 −$120 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET May 18 $145 −$140 -97%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner May 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$4,955
sports 24% +$431
world 0% −$84
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $84 54m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $73 54m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $143 54m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 60¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 1¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 39¢ $34 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $101 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 87¢ $93 6h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 56¢ $61 6h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $54 6h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $136 6h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 53¢ $39 6h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 1¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 55¢ $30 7h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 74¢ $101 8h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 67¢ $50 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $47 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 22¢ $10 23h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $118 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 3¢ $5 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 7¢ $5 26h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $30 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $30 26h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 85¢ $100 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 100¢ $438 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 78¢ $250 27h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 2¢ $5 27h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 82¢ $101 29h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 45¢ $102 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +7.2% -3.0% 64% 64% +4.8%
≤30d 70 -9.3% -17.9% 56% 54% -21.5%
≤90d 286 -9.1% -17.7% 56% 51% -20.3%
all 330 -5.0% -14.0% 58% 54% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 54% -18.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 48% -26.2%
15% -29.8% 38% -33.3%
20% -36.6% 24% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2001 history records