Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x71c7…5751
crypto · 837 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,488 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,487 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,487
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses408 / 428
Open positions1
Markets (closed)836 / 837
History coverage12d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day100.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 836 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,525
7 days−$1,659
14 days−$1,487
30 days−$1,487
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 48¢ 34¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$15 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $55 −$53 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +82%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $51 +$25 +48%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $212 −$212 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $518 −$518 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $519 −$519 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$1,498
other 1% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $30 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $11 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 41¢ $73 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 22¢ $41 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $11 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 611 -12.5% -20.8% 46% 46% -43.5%
≤30d 836 -6.9% -15.8% 49% 49% -36.1%
≤90d 836 -6.9% -15.8% 49% 49% -36.1%
all 836 -6.9% -15.8% 49% 49% -36.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.8% 49% -36.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 48% -42.2%
15% -31.2% 48% -47.8%
20% -37.9% 48% -52.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.44 · official $1.65 (match) · 1320 history records